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Trends and changes of mean, maximum, minimum temperature and precipitation series in Northern Cyprus

Yıl 2007, Cilt: 13 Sayı: 3, 281 - 305, 01.12.2007

Öz

Abstract Seasonal temperature and precipitation series of Girne and Lefkoşa stations in Northern Cyprus were investigated with respect to the long-term trends and changes. Results of the study have led to the following main conclusions: (1) Statistically significant increasing (warming) trends were found in mean temperatures of Girne, while mean temperatures of Lefkoşa were statistically random against to any trend in all seasons; (2) Statistically significant and the strongest warming trend showed up mainly in minimum temperatures at both stations in all seasons; (3) Increasing trends in maximum temperatures were not as strong as in mean temperatures at Girne and in minimum temperatures of both stations; (4) Warmer than long-term average temperature conditions in the series was evident especially after the year 1990; (5) However, precipitation series did not show any significant trend, being characterized mainly by wetter or drier than long-term average conditions.

Kaynakça

  • Ben-Gai, T., Bitan, A., Manes, A., Alpert, B., Rubin, S. (1999). Temporal and spatial trends of temperature patterns in Israel. T hear. App]. Climatol. 64: 163-177.
  • Brunetti, M., Maugari, M., Nanni, T. (2000). Variations of temperature and precipitation in Italy from 1866 to 1995. Theor. Appl. Climatol. 65: 165-174.
  • Esteban-Parra, M.J., Rodrigo, F.S. (1995). Temperature trends and change points in the Northern Spanish Plateau during the last 100 years. Int. J. Climatol. 15: 1031
  • International Climate Change Taskforce. (2005). Meeting the Climate Challenge:
  • Recommendations of the International Climate Change Taskforce, Co-Chairs: Rt Hon. S. Byers MP (United Kingdom) and Sen. 0. Snowe (United States). Published by The Institute for Public Policy Research, The Center for American Progress, The Australia Institute. IPCC. (2001a). Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basic - Contribution of
  • Working Group 1 to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Eds: J. T. Houghton et al., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. IPCC. (2001b); Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability
  • Contribution of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Eds: J. J. McCarthy et al., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. Kadıoğlu, M. (1997). Trends in surface air temperature data over Turkey. Int. J.- Climatol. 17: 511-520.
  • Kutiel, H., Maheras, P., Guika, S. (1996). Circulations and extreme rainfall conditions in the Eastern Mediterranean during the last century. Int. J. Climatol. 16: 92.
  • Kutiel, H., Maheras, P. (1998). Variations in the temperature regime across the Mediterranean during the last century and their relationship with circulation indices. Theor. App]. Climatol. 61: 39-53.
  • Norrant, C., Douguedroit, A. (2006). Monthly and daily precipitation trends in the Mediterranean (1950- -2000). Theor. App]. Climatol. 83: 89—106.
  • Parry, M., Arnell, N., Fisher, G. ,Iglesias, A. Kovats, S. Livermore, M, Martens, P. McMichael, T. Nicholls, R., Rosenzweig C. (2001). Millions at risk: deŞning crıtıcal clımate change threats and targets Glob. Environ. Chang. 11: 181- 183
  • Price, C., Michaelides, S., Pashiardis, S., Alpert, P. (1999). Long term changes in diurnal temperature range in Cyprus. A tmos. Res. 51: 85-98.
  • Ramos, M.C. (2001). Rainfall distribution patterns and their change over time in
  • Mediterranean area. Theor. App]. Climatol. 69: 163-170. Sneyers, R. (1990). On the Statistical Analysis of Series of Observations. World
  • Meteorological Organization (WMO), Technical note, No. 143, Geneva. Sneyers, R. (1992). Use and Misuse of Statistical Methods for the Detection of
  • Climate Change. In Climate Change Detection Project, Report on the Informal Planning Meeting on Statistical Procedures for Climate Change Detection, WCDMP, 20, pp. J76-J81. Thomthwaite, C.W. (1948). An Approach toward a rational classiŞcation of climate. Geography Review 38: 55-94.
  • Türkeş, M., Sümer, U.M., Kılıç, G. (1995). Variations and trends in annual mean air temperatures in Turkey with respect to climatic variability. Int. J. Climatol. 15: 557
  • Türkeş, M., Sümer, U.M., Kılıç G. (1996). Observed changes in maximum and minimum temperatures in Turkey. Int. J. Climatol. 16: 463—477.
  • Türkeş, M. (1996). Spatial and temporal analysis of annual rainfall variations in
  • Turkey. Int. J. Climatol. 16:1057- 1076.
  • Türkeş, M. (1998). Influence of geopotential heights, cyclone frequency and southern oscillation on rainfall variations in Turkey. Int. J. Climatol. 18: 649—680.
  • Türkeş, M., Sümer,U.M., Demir, İ. (2002). Re-evaluation of trends and changes in mean, maximum and minimum temperatures of Turkey for the period 1929-1999. Int. J. Climatol. 22: 947-977.
  • Türkeş, M. (2003). Spatial and temporal variations in precipitation and aridity index series of Turkey. In: Hans—Jürgen Bolle (ed.), Mediterranean Climate — Variability and Trends, Regional Climate Studies, Springer Verlag, Heidelberg, 181—213.
  • Türkeş, M., Sümer, U.M. (2004). Spatial and temporal patterns of trends and variability in diurnal temperature ranges of Turkey. T hear. Appl. Climate]. 77: 195—
  • Willmott, C.J . (1977). WATBUG: A FORTRAN IV Algorithm for Calculating the Climatic Water Budget, University of Delaware, Delaware.
  • Xoplaki, E. (2002). Climate variability over the Mediterranean. PhD Thesis,
  • Inauguraldissertation der Philosopisch-naturwisswnschaftlichen Fakulta't der Universitât Bern, Bern, Switzerland. (Unpublished). Accepted'IO. 04.2007
Yıl 2007, Cilt: 13 Sayı: 3, 281 - 305, 01.12.2007

Öz

Kaynakça

  • Ben-Gai, T., Bitan, A., Manes, A., Alpert, B., Rubin, S. (1999). Temporal and spatial trends of temperature patterns in Israel. T hear. App]. Climatol. 64: 163-177.
  • Brunetti, M., Maugari, M., Nanni, T. (2000). Variations of temperature and precipitation in Italy from 1866 to 1995. Theor. Appl. Climatol. 65: 165-174.
  • Esteban-Parra, M.J., Rodrigo, F.S. (1995). Temperature trends and change points in the Northern Spanish Plateau during the last 100 years. Int. J. Climatol. 15: 1031
  • International Climate Change Taskforce. (2005). Meeting the Climate Challenge:
  • Recommendations of the International Climate Change Taskforce, Co-Chairs: Rt Hon. S. Byers MP (United Kingdom) and Sen. 0. Snowe (United States). Published by The Institute for Public Policy Research, The Center for American Progress, The Australia Institute. IPCC. (2001a). Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basic - Contribution of
  • Working Group 1 to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Eds: J. T. Houghton et al., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. IPCC. (2001b); Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability
  • Contribution of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Eds: J. J. McCarthy et al., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. Kadıoğlu, M. (1997). Trends in surface air temperature data over Turkey. Int. J.- Climatol. 17: 511-520.
  • Kutiel, H., Maheras, P., Guika, S. (1996). Circulations and extreme rainfall conditions in the Eastern Mediterranean during the last century. Int. J. Climatol. 16: 92.
  • Kutiel, H., Maheras, P. (1998). Variations in the temperature regime across the Mediterranean during the last century and their relationship with circulation indices. Theor. App]. Climatol. 61: 39-53.
  • Norrant, C., Douguedroit, A. (2006). Monthly and daily precipitation trends in the Mediterranean (1950- -2000). Theor. App]. Climatol. 83: 89—106.
  • Parry, M., Arnell, N., Fisher, G. ,Iglesias, A. Kovats, S. Livermore, M, Martens, P. McMichael, T. Nicholls, R., Rosenzweig C. (2001). Millions at risk: deŞning crıtıcal clımate change threats and targets Glob. Environ. Chang. 11: 181- 183
  • Price, C., Michaelides, S., Pashiardis, S., Alpert, P. (1999). Long term changes in diurnal temperature range in Cyprus. A tmos. Res. 51: 85-98.
  • Ramos, M.C. (2001). Rainfall distribution patterns and their change over time in
  • Mediterranean area. Theor. App]. Climatol. 69: 163-170. Sneyers, R. (1990). On the Statistical Analysis of Series of Observations. World
  • Meteorological Organization (WMO), Technical note, No. 143, Geneva. Sneyers, R. (1992). Use and Misuse of Statistical Methods for the Detection of
  • Climate Change. In Climate Change Detection Project, Report on the Informal Planning Meeting on Statistical Procedures for Climate Change Detection, WCDMP, 20, pp. J76-J81. Thomthwaite, C.W. (1948). An Approach toward a rational classiŞcation of climate. Geography Review 38: 55-94.
  • Türkeş, M., Sümer, U.M., Kılıç, G. (1995). Variations and trends in annual mean air temperatures in Turkey with respect to climatic variability. Int. J. Climatol. 15: 557
  • Türkeş, M., Sümer, U.M., Kılıç G. (1996). Observed changes in maximum and minimum temperatures in Turkey. Int. J. Climatol. 16: 463—477.
  • Türkeş, M. (1996). Spatial and temporal analysis of annual rainfall variations in
  • Turkey. Int. J. Climatol. 16:1057- 1076.
  • Türkeş, M. (1998). Influence of geopotential heights, cyclone frequency and southern oscillation on rainfall variations in Turkey. Int. J. Climatol. 18: 649—680.
  • Türkeş, M., Sümer,U.M., Demir, İ. (2002). Re-evaluation of trends and changes in mean, maximum and minimum temperatures of Turkey for the period 1929-1999. Int. J. Climatol. 22: 947-977.
  • Türkeş, M. (2003). Spatial and temporal variations in precipitation and aridity index series of Turkey. In: Hans—Jürgen Bolle (ed.), Mediterranean Climate — Variability and Trends, Regional Climate Studies, Springer Verlag, Heidelberg, 181—213.
  • Türkeş, M., Sümer, U.M. (2004). Spatial and temporal patterns of trends and variability in diurnal temperature ranges of Turkey. T hear. Appl. Climate]. 77: 195—
  • Willmott, C.J . (1977). WATBUG: A FORTRAN IV Algorithm for Calculating the Climatic Water Budget, University of Delaware, Delaware.
  • Xoplaki, E. (2002). Climate variability over the Mediterranean. PhD Thesis,
  • Inauguraldissertation der Philosopisch-naturwisswnschaftlichen Fakulta't der Universitât Bern, Bern, Switzerland. (Unpublished). Accepted'IO. 04.2007
Toplam 27 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Bölüm Articles
Yazarlar

Murat Türkeş And Faize Sarış Bu kişi benim

Murat Türkeş Bu kişi benim

Faize Sarış

Yayımlanma Tarihi 1 Aralık 2007
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2007 Cilt: 13 Sayı: 3

Kaynak Göster

APA Sarış, M. T. A. F. ., Türkeş, M., & Sarış, F. (2007). Trends and changes of mean, maximum, minimum temperature and precipitation series in Northern Cyprus. Journal of Black Sea / Mediterranean Environment, 13(3), 281-305.
AMA Sarış MTAF, Türkeş M, Sarış F. Trends and changes of mean, maximum, minimum temperature and precipitation series in Northern Cyprus. Journal of Black Sea / Mediterranean Environment. Aralık 2007;13(3):281-305.
Chicago Sarış, Murat Türkeş And Faize, Murat Türkeş, ve Faize Sarış. “Trends and Changes of Mean, Maximum, Minimum Temperature and Precipitation Series in Northern Cyprus”. Journal of Black Sea / Mediterranean Environment 13, sy. 3 (Aralık 2007): 281-305.
EndNote Sarış MTAF, Türkeş M, Sarış F (01 Aralık 2007) Trends and changes of mean, maximum, minimum temperature and precipitation series in Northern Cyprus. Journal of Black Sea / Mediterranean Environment 13 3 281–305.
IEEE M. T. A. F. . Sarış, M. Türkeş, ve F. Sarış, “Trends and changes of mean, maximum, minimum temperature and precipitation series in Northern Cyprus”, Journal of Black Sea / Mediterranean Environment, c. 13, sy. 3, ss. 281–305, 2007.
ISNAD Sarış, Murat Türkeş And Faize vd. “Trends and Changes of Mean, Maximum, Minimum Temperature and Precipitation Series in Northern Cyprus”. Journal of Black Sea / Mediterranean Environment 13/3 (Aralık 2007), 281-305.
JAMA Sarış MTAF, Türkeş M, Sarış F. Trends and changes of mean, maximum, minimum temperature and precipitation series in Northern Cyprus. Journal of Black Sea / Mediterranean Environment. 2007;13:281–305.
MLA Sarış, Murat Türkeş And Faize vd. “Trends and Changes of Mean, Maximum, Minimum Temperature and Precipitation Series in Northern Cyprus”. Journal of Black Sea / Mediterranean Environment, c. 13, sy. 3, 2007, ss. 281-05.
Vancouver Sarış MTAF, Türkeş M, Sarış F. Trends and changes of mean, maximum, minimum temperature and precipitation series in Northern Cyprus. Journal of Black Sea / Mediterranean Environment. 2007;13(3):281-305.