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Sinüs Toplam Modeli ile Küresel Güneş Radyasyon Tahmini

Year 2022, Issue: 40, 15 - 18, 30.09.2022
https://doi.org/10.31590/ejosat.1171106

Abstract

Yenilenebilir ve temiz enerji kaynaklarına günümüzde ulusların uzun vadeli büyümesi ve fosil yakıtların olumsuz çevresel etkilerinin azaltılması için ihtiyaç duyulmaktadır. En önemli enerji kaynaklarından biri güneş enerjisidir. Güneş enerjisinin radyasyon özelliklerini anlamak, belirli bir bölgede güneş enerjisinden en iyi şekilde yararlanmak için çok önemlidir. Ayrıca, günümüzde insanlığın karşı karşıya olduğu en acil sorunlardan biri olan iklim değişikliği araştırmaları için güvenilir güneş enerjisi ölçümleri gereklidir. Günümüzde dünyanın artan enerji ihtiyacını karşılamak için güneş enerjisi üretim sistemleri yaygın olarak kullanılmaktadır. Uydu tabanlı güneş radyasyon tahminleri şu anda güneş enerjisi sistemi planlaması ve verimli kullanımı için gereken yüksek uzaysal ve zamansal çözünürlük, küresel, yaygın ve doğrudan güneş ışığı verilerini sağlar. Bu çalışmada, Matlab programında n=1,n=2,n=3 için sinüs toplam modeli kullanılarak belirlenen bölgenin güneş radyasyon değerleri tahmin edilmiştir. Geliştirilen modellerin performansını değerlendirmek için çeşitli istatistiksel hata analiz testleri kullanılmıştır. Tahmin edilen güneş radyasyon değerleri, önerilen tahmin modellerinin ne kadar etkili performans sergilediğini göstermektedir.

References

  • Kaplan, Y.A., (2015). Overview of wind energy in the world and assesment of current wind energy policies in Turkey. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 43 C, 562-568.
  • Ozturk, M., Bezir, N.C., & Ozek, N., (2009). Hydropower–water and renewable energy in Turkey: sources and policy. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 13, 605-615.
  • Togrul, I.N.T., & Onat, E., (2000). A comparison of estimated and measured values of solar radiation in Elazig, Turkey. Renewable Energy, 20, 243-252.
  • Jin, Z., Yezheng, W., & Gang, Y., (2005). General formula for estimation of monthly average daily global solar radiation in China. Energy Conversion and Management, 46, 257-268.
  • Menges, H.O., Ertekin, C., & Sonmete, M.H., (2006). Evaluation of global solar radiation models for Konya, Turkey. Energy Conversion and Management, 47, 3149-3173.
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  • Aras, H., Balli, O., & Hepbasli, A., (2006). Global solar radiation potential. Energy Sources Part B-Economics Planning and Policy, 1, 317-326.
  • Ulgen, K., & Hepbasli, A. (2004). Solar radiation models. Energy Sources, 26, 521-530.
  • Oztürk, M., Ozek, N., & Berkama, B., (2012). Comparison of some existing models for estimating monthly average daily global solar radiation for Isparta. Pamukkale University Journal of Engineering Sciences, 18, 13-27.
  • Khorasanizadeh, H., Mohammadi, K., & Mostafaeipour, A., (2014). Establishing a diffuse solar radiation model for determining the optimum tilt angle of solar surfaces in Tabass, Iran. Energy Conversion and Management, 78, 805-814.
  • Sabzpooshani, M., & Mohammadi, K., (2014), Establishing new empirical models for predicting monthly mean horizontal diffuse solar radiation in city of Isfahan, Iran, Energy, 69, 571-577.

Global Solar Radiation Estimation with Sum of Sine Model

Year 2022, Issue: 40, 15 - 18, 30.09.2022
https://doi.org/10.31590/ejosat.1171106

Abstract

Renewable and clean energy sources are currently needed for the long-term growth of nations and to decrease the negative environmental effects of fossil fuels. One of the most significant sources of energy is solar energy. Understanding the radiation properties of the solar energy is crucial for making the most use of solar energy in a certain region. In addition, reliable solar energy measurements are necessary for research into climate change, one of the most pressing problems confronting humanity today. Nowadays, solar energy harvesting systems are widely used to satisfy the world's increasing energy needs. Satellite-based solar radiation forecasts currently provide the high spatial and temporal resolution, global, diffuse, and direct sunlight data needed for solar power system planning and efficient utilization. In this study, the solar radiation values of the determined area were estimated using sum of sine model for n=1,n=2,n=3 in the Matlab program. Several statistical error analysis tests were used to evaluate the performance of the developed models. The estimated solar radiation values demonstrate how effectively the proposed prediction models performs.

References

  • Kaplan, Y.A., (2015). Overview of wind energy in the world and assesment of current wind energy policies in Turkey. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 43 C, 562-568.
  • Ozturk, M., Bezir, N.C., & Ozek, N., (2009). Hydropower–water and renewable energy in Turkey: sources and policy. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 13, 605-615.
  • Togrul, I.N.T., & Onat, E., (2000). A comparison of estimated and measured values of solar radiation in Elazig, Turkey. Renewable Energy, 20, 243-252.
  • Jin, Z., Yezheng, W., & Gang, Y., (2005). General formula for estimation of monthly average daily global solar radiation in China. Energy Conversion and Management, 46, 257-268.
  • Menges, H.O., Ertekin, C., & Sonmete, M.H., (2006). Evaluation of global solar radiation models for Konya, Turkey. Energy Conversion and Management, 47, 3149-3173.
  • MathWorks Help Center, https://ch.mathworks.com/help/curvefit/sum-of-sine.html.
  • Kallioglu, M.A., (2014). Improving a model for calculating daily global, diffuse and direct solar radiation on horizontal surfaces for Nigde. Master's thesis, Nigde University Graduate School of Natural and Applied Sciences, Department of Mechanical Engineering.
  • Aras, H., Balli, O., & Hepbasli, A., (2006). Global solar radiation potential. Energy Sources Part B-Economics Planning and Policy, 1, 317-326.
  • Ulgen, K., & Hepbasli, A. (2004). Solar radiation models. Energy Sources, 26, 521-530.
  • Oztürk, M., Ozek, N., & Berkama, B., (2012). Comparison of some existing models for estimating monthly average daily global solar radiation for Isparta. Pamukkale University Journal of Engineering Sciences, 18, 13-27.
  • Khorasanizadeh, H., Mohammadi, K., & Mostafaeipour, A., (2014). Establishing a diffuse solar radiation model for determining the optimum tilt angle of solar surfaces in Tabass, Iran. Energy Conversion and Management, 78, 805-814.
  • Sabzpooshani, M., & Mohammadi, K., (2014), Establishing new empirical models for predicting monthly mean horizontal diffuse solar radiation in city of Isfahan, Iran, Energy, 69, 571-577.
There are 12 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Engineering
Journal Section Articles
Authors

Ayşe Gül Kaplan 0000-0002-3131-9079

Early Pub Date September 26, 2022
Publication Date September 30, 2022
Published in Issue Year 2022 Issue: 40

Cite

APA Kaplan, A. G. (2022). Global Solar Radiation Estimation with Sum of Sine Model. Avrupa Bilim Ve Teknoloji Dergisi(40), 15-18. https://doi.org/10.31590/ejosat.1171106